A surrender document or a way out of a quagmire? An American reading of the Iran agreement policy

aljazeera.net
8 Min Read


Major American newspapers and magazines discussed the repercussions of the ongoing war between the United States, Israel, and Iran from overlapping political, economic, and strategic angles, considering that this war is no longer just a regional confrontation, but rather has become an influential factor in the global economy, and in the political balances within Washington, Tel Aviv, and Tehran alike, and so on.

The New York Times focused on the structural transformation within the Iranian regime, noting that the war led to the emergence of a leadership that it described as “more military and less religious,” relying on “deterrence by force” instead of the traditional caution that characterized the era of the late former guide, Ali Khamenei.

Read also

list of 2 itemsend of list

Withstand pressure

According to the newspaper, Iran today is more willing to bear economic and military pressure, in exchange for maintaining its nuclear and missile capabilities, which makes it more difficult to tame through sanctions or military threats.

A number of experts whom the newspaper relied on believe that continued military pressure will not achieve the goals that the war failed to impose, because Iran now believes that it has passed the most dangerous stages of the confrontation, and will continue to defend the issues that it considers essential.

Despite this, the newspaper confirms that Iran still needs an agreement that will ease its severe economic crisis and open the way for oil exports and free up part of its frozen funds.

Market pressure

However, she believes, on the other hand, that US President Donald Trump faces greater pressure to reach a quick settlement that avoids additional disruptions in global energy markets.

The New York Times adds that the ongoing negotiations between Washington and Tehran may lead to only a preliminary agreement, focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and postponing fundamental issues such as the nuclear program and freezing assets, which means the continuation of a state of “no war and no peace” for a long time.

For its part, Politico newspaper indicated that the war has become the most prominent issue at the G7 summit, ahead of the trade and customs tariff issues that dominated in previous years.

According to the report, the disturbances in the Strait of Hormuz led to shocks in global energy markets and a rise in oil and gas prices, which was directly reflected in inflation rates in the United States and Europe, and forced central banks to tighten their monetary policies.

The newspaper added that European leaders have become more concerned about the repercussions of the war on their economies, given their heavy reliance on stable energy supplies through sea lanes in the country. The Middle East.

The Hill:
Democratic Representative Seth Moulton sharply criticized the agreement, describing it as a “surrender document” in favor of Tehran.

Surrender document

The Hill also reported part of the controversy within the United States about the framework agreement circulating with Iran, where Democratic Representative Seth Moulton directed sharp criticism of the agreement, describing it as a “document of surrender” in favor of Tehran.

Moulton pointed out that the United States spent nearly $100 billion in the war, in addition to human losses, without achieving clear strategic gains, criticizing that the proposed agreement does not go beyond reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which he considered insufficient after all these costs.

However, Moulton acknowledged that ending the war and reaching an agreement remains the least bad option, even if it is unbalanced from his point of view.

Netanyahu’s future has become closely linked to the repercussions of the Iran war, according to analysts (French)

Netanyahu’s future

Foreign Policy magazine discussed the internal political dimension of the war in Israel, noting that the future of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has become closely linked to the results of the war with Iran.

According to the magazine’s analysis, Netanyahu was betting on achieving “complete victory” on more than one front, including Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza, but the reality on the ground did not fulfill these promises, which weakens his political position before the next elections.

The magazine explains that opinion polls in Israel reflect a clear state of division, as a portion of the public still supports the continuation of military operations, driven by the shock of October 7, 2023, while internal criticism is increasing regarding the cost of the war, the depletion of reserve forces, and the deteriorating security situation.

She adds that Netanyahu is trying to use the escalation with Iran as a means to restore his political image, even though the Israeli opposition is still unable to unite its ranks in a way that allows for a real challenge to him.

FILE - Iran's Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi briefs the media on elections in Tehran, Iran, March 4, 2024. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi, File)
Wall Street Journal: Vahidi prefers to use military force rather than make quick concessions in the talks (Associated Press)

Commander Wahidi

On the Iranian side, the Wall Street Journal focused on the rising role of the new commander of the Revolutionary Guard, Ahmed Vahidi, who became one of the most prominent decision-makers in Tehran during the war.

According to the newspaper, Vahidi represents “a hard-line trend within the Iranian regime” that prefers to use military force as a means to strengthen the negotiating position, rather than making quick concessions in the talks with Washington.

The newspaper notes that Vahidi played a direct role in the recent decision to launch missiles towards Israel, in a move that reflected the victory of the military current within the Iranian National Security Council over the more moderate voices, which were pushing for calm to avoid undermining the talks with the United States.

She also explained that Wahidi links the negotiating track to regional files, especially support for Hezbollah and control of energy corridors such as the Strait of Hormuz.

These newspapers and magazines agree that war is no longer a limited military event, but has become a multidimensional global crisis.



Source link

Share This Article
Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *