China threatens to retaliate against new European restrictions amid escalating trade tensions economy

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Economic relations between China and the European Union are heading towards a more sensitive phase, after Beijing warned of taking “firm countermeasures” if the European Union continues to impose new trade restrictions on Chinese imports, at a time when Brussels is studying additional tools to confront what it sees as a surplus in Chinese production capacity that threatens major European industrial sectors, according to Bloomberg.

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce said on Saturday that Beijing “will take firm countermeasures and effective measures to protect its interests” if the European Union insists on applying new trade tools or imposing restrictions that it describes as discriminatory against Chinese products.

The Chinese warning came after discussions held by the European Commission on May 29 regarding economic and trade policy towards China, in light of growing European concern about the influx of Chinese products into European markets at low prices that put pressure on local companies and exacerbate trade imbalances, according to Bloomberg.

Despite the warning tone, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed that channels of communication with the European Union remain open, noting that the two sides are discussing establishing a mechanism for consultation on trade and investment with the aim of addressing the growing economic differences.

A widening trade deficit

These developments come at a time when European fears of a widening trade gap with China are increasing.

The European trade deficit with China continues to expand at a rapid pace (Getty)

According to European Commission data reported by Politico, the European Union’s trade deficit with China rose to about 360 billion euros last year, compared to 312 billion euros in 2024, while the data showed the gap continuing to widen during the first quarter of 2026.

Brussels believes that a large part of this imbalance is linked to the influx of increasing quantities of Chinese products into the European market, including cars, solar panels, clothing, and a wide range of industrial and consumer goods, according to Politico.

“The current state of the trade and investment relationship with China is unsustainable,” the European Commission said in a statement following the recent discussions and reported by Politico, adding that the intertwining of economic and security interests requires a “stronger and more coherent” European response.

Chinese surplus production

According to Politico, the European debate centers on what Brussels describes as a surplus of production capacity in China, which prompts Chinese companies to export large quantities of goods at low prices to foreign markets.

European officials say that this increasing influx of Chinese products puts mounting pressure on European industries, while the European Commission indicated, according to Politico, that some industrial sectors face increasing competition that threatens European factories and jobs.

For this purpose, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen held a meeting with Commission members to discuss a set of potential tools and policies that could be used to address growing trade imbalances with China and protect European industries from competition that they consider unequal, according to Politico.

Division within Europe

Despite increasing calls to take a tougher stance towards China, the European Union still faces internal division over how to manage the economic relationship with the second largest economy in the world.

epaselect epa12775723 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (2-L) participates in a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping (2-R) at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, China, February 25, 2026. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is visiting China from February 25 to February 26. EPA/JESSICA LEE/POOL
Berlin appears less conservative about taking new defensive measures (European)

France and a number of member states are pushing for stronger measures to protect European industries, while Germany has for years been one of the most prominent voices warning of steps that could lead to retaliatory reactions from Beijing and harm European exports to the Chinese market.

But Politico indicated that Berlin has shown in recent days a greater willingness to support tougher European measures, in a remarkable shift compared to its traditional cautious stance towards China.

European Union Commissioner for Industrial Strategy Stefan Sigourney said, in statements reported by Politico, that Europe “cannot remain a victim of a strategy that harms its industry,” considering that the current stage requires “new tools, new procedures, and new political will” to deal with the growing challenges.

Between containment and escalation

The current confrontation reflects increasing complexity in the economic relationship between China and Europe, as Brussels seeks to protect its industries and reduce the growing trade deficit, while Beijing rejects what it considers to be protectionist or discriminatory measures targeting its products and companies.

While the two parties continue to talk about new mechanisms for dialogue and consultation, the trade relationship between the two sides appears to be facing a new test that may determine the features of economic cooperation between them in the coming years, especially with the escalation of global competition for strategic industries, technology, and clean energy.

Bloomberg indicates that the European Union finds itself facing a complex equation that combines its desire to reformulate its economic relationship with China and reduce trade imbalances on the one hand, and its need to avoid a broad trade confrontation with one of its largest trading partners on the other hand.



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